Iowa's Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 victory and the open seat following Joni Ernst's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson. Public polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, supported by stronger fundraising, Trump primary endorsement, and recent sheriff coalition backing on immigration and law enforcement. Josh Turek maintains competitiveness through bipartisan Republican endorsements, stronger independent support in some surveys, and a September internal poll showing him narrowly ahead amid questions over Hinson's favorability. The November general election timeline keeps focus on voter turnout and economic issues like farm costs as potential swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$235,348 ปริมาณ
$235,348 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
66%
Josh Turek (D)
35%
$235,348 ปริมาณ
$235,348 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$123,397 ปริมาณ
66%
Josh Turek (D)
$111,951 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 victory and the open seat following Joni Ernst's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson. Public polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, supported by stronger fundraising, Trump primary endorsement, and recent sheriff coalition backing on immigration and law enforcement. Josh Turek maintains competitiveness through bipartisan Republican endorsements, stronger independent support in some surveys, and a September internal poll showing him narrowly ahead amid questions over Hinson's favorability. The November general election timeline keeps focus on voter turnout and economic issues like farm costs as potential swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,348วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 victory and the open seat following Joni Ernst's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson. Public polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, supported by stronger fundraising, Trump primary endorsement, and recent sheriff coalition backing on immigration and law enforcement. Josh Turek maintains competitiveness through bipartisan Republican endorsements, stronger independent support in some surveys, and a September internal poll showing him narrowly ahead amid questions over Hinson's favorability. The November general election timeline keeps focus on voter turnout and economic issues like farm costs as potential swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,348วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 victory and the open seat following Joni Ernst's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson. Public polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, supported by stronger fundraising, Trump primary endorsement, and recent sheriff coalition backing on immigration and law enforcement. Josh Turek maintains competitiveness through bipartisan Republican endorsements, stronger independent support in some surveys, and a September internal poll showing him narrowly ahead amid questions over Hinson's favorability. The November general election timeline keeps focus on voter turnout and economic issues like farm costs as potential swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย