Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 2026 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a state carried by President Trump in 2024, with recent polls from late August and early September showing El-Sayed holding a slim lead or statistical tie, typically in the 44-47% range against Rogers. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by El-Sayed's fundraising edge, stronger performance among key voting blocs such as younger and college-educated voters, and Michigan's historical Democratic lean in federal contests, even as independent support and economic concerns keep the contest closely contested ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$677,968 ปริมาณ
$677,968 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
36%
$677,968 ปริมาณ
$677,968 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$371,051 ปริมาณ
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
$306,917 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 2026 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a state carried by President Trump in 2024, with recent polls from late August and early September showing El-Sayed holding a slim lead or statistical tie, typically in the 44-47% range against Rogers. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by El-Sayed's fundraising edge, stronger performance among key voting blocs such as younger and college-educated voters, and Michigan's historical Democratic lean in federal contests, even as independent support and economic concerns keep the contest closely contested ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$677,968วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 2026 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a state carried by President Trump in 2024, with recent polls from late August and early September showing El-Sayed holding a slim lead or statistical tie, typically in the 44-47% range against Rogers. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by El-Sayed's fundraising edge, stronger performance among key voting blocs such as younger and college-educated voters, and Michigan's historical Democratic lean in federal contests, even as independent support and economic concerns keep the contest closely contested ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$677,968วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 2026 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a state carried by President Trump in 2024, with recent polls from late August and early September showing El-Sayed holding a slim lead or statistical tie, typically in the 44-47% range against Rogers. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by El-Sayed's fundraising edge, stronger performance among key voting blocs such as younger and college-educated voters, and Michigan's historical Democratic lean in federal contests, even as independent support and economic concerns keep the contest closely contested ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย