The withdrawal of Gilad Erdan’s Unity party from the October 27 Knesset election, confirmed just before the September 8 candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for its vote share below 0.5 percent. Blue and White, the remaining centrist vehicle tied to Benny Gantz and earlier National Unity efforts, registers at or below 1 percent in nearly all recent polls and frequently falls short of the 3.25 percent electoral threshold. Fragmentation across new centrist and right-leaning slates, combined with stable bloc projections favoring larger parties such as Likud and Yashar, reinforces the low-probability assessment reflected in current pricing. Late mergers or unexpected turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter the final tally before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<0.5% 94.8%
0.5-0.75% 1.1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
95%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 94.8%
0.5-0.75% 1.1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$534 ปริมาณ
95%
0.5-0.75%
$162 ปริมาณ
1%
0.75-1%
$109 ปริมาณ
1%
1-2%
$112 ปริมาณ
1%
2%+
$176 ปริมาณ
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The withdrawal of Gilad Erdan’s Unity party from the October 27 Knesset election, confirmed just before the September 8 candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for its vote share below 0.5 percent. Blue and White, the remaining centrist vehicle tied to Benny Gantz and earlier National Unity efforts, registers at or below 1 percent in nearly all recent polls and frequently falls short of the 3.25 percent electoral threshold. Fragmentation across new centrist and right-leaning slates, combined with stable bloc projections favoring larger parties such as Likud and Yashar, reinforces the low-probability assessment reflected in current pricing. Late mergers or unexpected turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter the final tally before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,093วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The withdrawal of Gilad Erdan’s Unity party from the October 27 Knesset election, confirmed just before the September 8 candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for its vote share below 0.5 percent. Blue and White, the remaining centrist vehicle tied to Benny Gantz and earlier National Unity efforts, registers at or below 1 percent in nearly all recent polls and frequently falls short of the 3.25 percent electoral threshold. Fragmentation across new centrist and right-leaning slates, combined with stable bloc projections favoring larger parties such as Likud and Yashar, reinforces the low-probability assessment reflected in current pricing. Late mergers or unexpected turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter the final tally before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,093วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The withdrawal of Gilad Erdan’s Unity party from the October 27 Knesset election, confirmed just before the September 8 candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for its vote share below 0.5 percent. Blue and White, the remaining centrist vehicle tied to Benny Gantz and earlier National Unity efforts, registers at or below 1 percent in nearly all recent polls and frequently falls short of the 3.25 percent electoral threshold. Fragmentation across new centrist and right-leaning slates, combined with stable bloc projections favoring larger parties such as Likud and Yashar, reinforces the low-probability assessment reflected in current pricing. Late mergers or unexpected turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter the final tally before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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