Patty Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Following incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's withdrawal after the primary filing deadline, Garcia secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March primary as his former chief of staff. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo advanced without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Independent candidates who sought ballot access were disqualified earlier in the cycle, further consolidating support behind the major-party frontrunner. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unexpected turnout shifts in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence outcomes in this open-seat contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-04 House Election Winner
IL-04 House Election Winner
$61,640 ปริมาณ
$61,640 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Patty Garcia (D)
96%
Lupe Castillo (R)
4%
$61,640 ปริมาณ
$61,640 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Patty Garcia (D)
$45,541 ปริมาณ
96%
Lupe Castillo (R)
$16,099 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Patty Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Following incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's withdrawal after the primary filing deadline, Garcia secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March primary as his former chief of staff. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo advanced without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Independent candidates who sought ballot access were disqualified earlier in the cycle, further consolidating support behind the major-party frontrunner. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unexpected turnout shifts in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence outcomes in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,640วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Patty Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Following incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's withdrawal after the primary filing deadline, Garcia secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March primary as his former chief of staff. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo advanced without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Independent candidates who sought ballot access were disqualified earlier in the cycle, further consolidating support behind the major-party frontrunner. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unexpected turnout shifts in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence outcomes in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,640วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Patty Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Following incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's withdrawal after the primary filing deadline, Garcia secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March primary as his former chief of staff. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo advanced without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Independent candidates who sought ballot access were disqualified earlier in the cycle, further consolidating support behind the major-party frontrunner. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health issues or unexpected turnout shifts in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence outcomes in this open-seat contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย