Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,908 ปริมาณ
$59,908 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
4%
$59,908 ปริมาณ
$59,908 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,115 ปริมาณ
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,793 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,908วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,908วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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