Incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+5. His unopposed Republican primary and substantial fundraising lead—nearly $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000—reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Mullock, Cape May’s mayor, secured the Democratic nomination in June but faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Recent developments, including Van Drew’s September 15 hearing on noncitizen voter registrations and a September 16 union endorsement from the Atlantic and Cape May Building Trades Council, have kept the incumbent in the spotlight on core district issues. With the November 3 general election approaching, these factors sustain Van Drew’s strong implied probability while limiting shifts for the challenger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$26,906 ปริมาณ
$26,906 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jeff Van Drew (R)
84%
Zack Mullock (D)
14%
$26,906 ปริมาณ
$26,906 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jeff Van Drew (R)
$13,600 ปริมาณ
84%
Zack Mullock (D)
$13,306 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+5. His unopposed Republican primary and substantial fundraising lead—nearly $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000—reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Mullock, Cape May’s mayor, secured the Democratic nomination in June but faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Recent developments, including Van Drew’s September 15 hearing on noncitizen voter registrations and a September 16 union endorsement from the Atlantic and Cape May Building Trades Council, have kept the incumbent in the spotlight on core district issues. With the November 3 general election approaching, these factors sustain Van Drew’s strong implied probability while limiting shifts for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,906วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+5. His unopposed Republican primary and substantial fundraising lead—nearly $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000—reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Mullock, Cape May’s mayor, secured the Democratic nomination in June but faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Recent developments, including Van Drew’s September 15 hearing on noncitizen voter registrations and a September 16 union endorsement from the Atlantic and Cape May Building Trades Council, have kept the incumbent in the spotlight on core district issues. With the November 3 general election approaching, these factors sustain Van Drew’s strong implied probability while limiting shifts for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,906วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+5. His unopposed Republican primary and substantial fundraising lead—nearly $1.9 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Zack Mullock’s roughly $463,000—reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Mullock, Cape May’s mayor, secured the Democratic nomination in June but faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Recent developments, including Van Drew’s September 15 hearing on noncitizen voter registrations and a September 16 union endorsement from the Atlantic and Cape May Building Trades Council, have kept the incumbent in the spotlight on core district issues. With the November 3 general election approaching, these factors sustain Van Drew’s strong implied probability while limiting shifts for the challenger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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