Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her incumbency after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points and securing an easy Democratic primary victory in June with over 81 percent of the vote. The district’s recent voting patterns, including strong Democratic margins in Essex County portions and solid performance across Morris and Passaic areas, align with her profile as the sitting representative. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic incumbent near 95 percent reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or turnout surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,685 ปริมาณ
$39,685 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
6%
$39,685 ปริมาณ
$39,685 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 ปริมาณ
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$16,071 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her incumbency after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points and securing an easy Democratic primary victory in June with over 81 percent of the vote. The district’s recent voting patterns, including strong Democratic margins in Essex County portions and solid performance across Morris and Passaic areas, align with her profile as the sitting representative. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic incumbent near 95 percent reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or turnout surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,685วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her incumbency after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points and securing an easy Democratic primary victory in June with over 81 percent of the vote. The district’s recent voting patterns, including strong Democratic margins in Essex County portions and solid performance across Morris and Passaic areas, align with her profile as the sitting representative. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic incumbent near 95 percent reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or turnout surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,685วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November general election for New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District due to her incumbency after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points and securing an easy Democratic primary victory in June with over 81 percent of the vote. The district’s recent voting patterns, including strong Democratic margins in Essex County portions and solid performance across Morris and Passaic areas, align with her profile as the sitting representative. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic incumbent near 95 percent reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or turnout surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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