Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race as the longtime Democratic incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with consistent past margins reflecting its voter base in Albany and surrounding counties. Traders price his reelection at 95.6 percent due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to the challenger's under $30,000, and the absence of competitive primary opposition or recent polling shifts. Ralph Ambrosio, the Republican nominee with a background in law enforcement and state service, faces structural barriers in a district without major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment could still influence the November 3 outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$35,403 ปริมาณ
$35,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Paul Tonko (D)
96%
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
4%
$35,403 ปริมาณ
$35,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Paul Tonko (D)
$16,564 ปริมาณ
96%
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
$18,839 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race as the longtime Democratic incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with consistent past margins reflecting its voter base in Albany and surrounding counties. Traders price his reelection at 95.6 percent due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to the challenger's under $30,000, and the absence of competitive primary opposition or recent polling shifts. Ralph Ambrosio, the Republican nominee with a background in law enforcement and state service, faces structural barriers in a district without major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment could still influence the November 3 outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race as the longtime Democratic incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with consistent past margins reflecting its voter base in Albany and surrounding counties. Traders price his reelection at 95.6 percent due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to the challenger's under $30,000, and the absence of competitive primary opposition or recent polling shifts. Ralph Ambrosio, the Republican nominee with a background in law enforcement and state service, faces structural barriers in a district without major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment could still influence the November 3 outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race as the longtime Democratic incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with consistent past margins reflecting its voter base in Albany and surrounding counties. Traders price his reelection at 95.6 percent due to his established record, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to the challenger's under $30,000, and the absence of competitive primary opposition or recent polling shifts. Ralph Ambrosio, the Republican nominee with a background in law enforcement and state service, faces structural barriers in a district without major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment could still influence the November 3 outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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