John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$22,266 ปริมาณ
$22,266 ปริมาณ
John Mannion (D)
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,266 ปริมาณ
$22,266 ปริมาณ
John Mannion (D)
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย