Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 60.8% margin in 2024. Morelle, first elected in 2018, secured his party nomination in June with 63% of the primary vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The November 3 ballot features limited structural shifts that could alter the trajectory, though factors such as national political momentum, turnout patterns in Monroe County, or late developments in candidate resources could narrow margins in a low-probability reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$33,113 ปริมาณ
$33,113 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 ปริมาณ
$33,113 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 ปริมาณ
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 60.8% margin in 2024. Morelle, first elected in 2018, secured his party nomination in June with 63% of the primary vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The November 3 ballot features limited structural shifts that could alter the trajectory, though factors such as national political momentum, turnout patterns in Monroe County, or late developments in candidate resources could narrow margins in a low-probability reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,113วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 60.8% margin in 2024. Morelle, first elected in 2018, secured his party nomination in June with 63% of the primary vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The November 3 ballot features limited structural shifts that could alter the trajectory, though factors such as national political momentum, turnout patterns in Monroe County, or late developments in candidate resources could narrow margins in a low-probability reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,113วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 60.8% margin in 2024. Morelle, first elected in 2018, secured his party nomination in June with 63% of the primary vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the general election outcome. The November 3 ballot features limited structural shifts that could alter the trajectory, though factors such as national political momentum, turnout patterns in Monroe County, or late developments in candidate resources could narrow margins in a low-probability reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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