OpenAI’s insistence on achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation before listing has anchored trader consensus around a “No” outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting the company’s June 2026 confidential filing and subsequent internal pivot. CEO Sam Altman rejected adviser recommendations for a faster 2026 debut at a lower price, while CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that OpenAI expects to go public in 2027 unless revenue growth inflects sharply. Recent private funding valued the firm at $852 billion amid heavy infrastructure spending and competitive AI dynamics with Anthropic. Volatile tech markets following SpaceX’s debut have reinforced caution. An unexpected acceleration could occur only if business metrics surge dramatically before year-end or regulatory and market conditions align rapidly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8% โอกาส
$302,086 ปริมาณ
$302,086 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
8% โอกาส
$302,086 ปริมาณ
$302,086 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s insistence on achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation before listing has anchored trader consensus around a “No” outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting the company’s June 2026 confidential filing and subsequent internal pivot. CEO Sam Altman rejected adviser recommendations for a faster 2026 debut at a lower price, while CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that OpenAI expects to go public in 2027 unless revenue growth inflects sharply. Recent private funding valued the firm at $852 billion amid heavy infrastructure spending and competitive AI dynamics with Anthropic. Volatile tech markets following SpaceX’s debut have reinforced caution. An unexpected acceleration could occur only if business metrics surge dramatically before year-end or regulatory and market conditions align rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,086วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s insistence on achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation before listing has anchored trader consensus around a “No” outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting the company’s June 2026 confidential filing and subsequent internal pivot. CEO Sam Altman rejected adviser recommendations for a faster 2026 debut at a lower price, while CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that OpenAI expects to go public in 2027 unless revenue growth inflects sharply. Recent private funding valued the firm at $852 billion amid heavy infrastructure spending and competitive AI dynamics with Anthropic. Volatile tech markets following SpaceX’s debut have reinforced caution. An unexpected acceleration could occur only if business metrics surge dramatically before year-end or regulatory and market conditions align rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,086วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s insistence on achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation before listing has anchored trader consensus around a “No” outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting the company’s June 2026 confidential filing and subsequent internal pivot. CEO Sam Altman rejected adviser recommendations for a faster 2026 debut at a lower price, while CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that OpenAI expects to go public in 2027 unless revenue growth inflects sharply. Recent private funding valued the firm at $852 billion amid heavy infrastructure spending and competitive AI dynamics with Anthropic. Volatile tech markets following SpaceX’s debut have reinforced caution. An unexpected acceleration could occur only if business metrics surge dramatically before year-end or regulatory and market conditions align rapidly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย