OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.5T+ 55.4%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.4%
750B–1T 9%
$185,898 ปริมาณ
$185,898 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
13%
1.25T–1.5T
14%
1.5T+
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
7%
1.5T+ 55.4%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.4%
750B–1T 9%
$185,898 ปริมาณ
$185,898 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$16,441 ปริมาณ
<1%
500–750B
$17,327 ปริมาณ
1%
750B–1T
$32,287 ปริมาณ
9%
1T–1.25T
$23,245 ปริมาณ
13%
1.25T–1.5T
$13,813 ปริมาณ
14%
1.5T+
$44,960 ปริมาณ
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$37,824 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,898วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185,898วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 SEC filing and August 2026 $7 billion employee tender that reaffirmed its $852 billion private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate—with enterprise now exceeding consumer subscriptions—combined with strategic backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank supports market-implied odds favoring a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap at 55.5 percent. Persistent infrastructure-driven losses and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor, which has shifted timelines from a potential late-2026 listing, introduce execution and market-condition risks that keep probabilities distributed across the $1–1.5 trillion bands while pricing the “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at just 6.9 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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