Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes leading Senate vote intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa at 14% and Mendonça Filho at 11%, with all three in technical tie given the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely frontrunner while leaving the second seat contested between Costa of the PT and Mendonça of the PL. Eduardo da Fonte trails at 7%. Small shifts since the prior survey and alignment with the tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos keep probabilities for second place closely matched between Costa and Mendonça, with further movement likely from undecided consolidation or coalition signals ahead of the October vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHumberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 13.9%
Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%
$30,961 ปริมาณ
$30,961 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
43%
Mendonça Filho
42%
Marília Arraes
14%
Túlio Gadêlha
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Humberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 13.9%
Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%
$30,961 ปริมาณ
$30,961 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,067 ปริมาณ
43%
Mendonça Filho
$8,246 ปริมาณ
42%
Marília Arraes
$5,262 ปริมาณ
14%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,430 ปริมาณ
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,511 ปริมาณ
2%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$769 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$829 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$802 ปริมาณ
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 ปริมาณ
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes leading Senate vote intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa at 14% and Mendonça Filho at 11%, with all three in technical tie given the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely frontrunner while leaving the second seat contested between Costa of the PT and Mendonça of the PL. Eduardo da Fonte trails at 7%. Small shifts since the prior survey and alignment with the tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos keep probabilities for second place closely matched between Costa and Mendonça, with further movement likely from undecided consolidation or coalition signals ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,961วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes leading Senate vote intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa at 14% and Mendonça Filho at 11%, with all three in technical tie given the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely frontrunner while leaving the second seat contested between Costa of the PT and Mendonça of the PL. Eduardo da Fonte trails at 7%. Small shifts since the prior survey and alignment with the tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos keep probabilities for second place closely matched between Costa and Mendonça, with further movement likely from undecided consolidation or coalition signals ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,961วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes leading Senate vote intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa at 14% and Mendonça Filho at 11%, with all three in technical tie given the 3-point margin of error and 27% undecided. Voters select two senators, positioning Arraes as the likely frontrunner while leaving the second seat contested between Costa of the PT and Mendonça of the PL. Eduardo da Fonte trails at 7%. Small shifts since the prior survey and alignment with the tight gubernatorial race between Raquel Lyra and João Campos keep probabilities for second place closely matched between Costa and Mendonça, with further movement likely from undecided consolidation or coalition signals ahead of the October vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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