Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBia Kicis 64.3%
Leila do Vôlei 32%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.2%
Erika Kokay <1%
$47,278 ปริมาณ
$47,278 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
64%
Leila do Vôlei
32%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Erika Kokay
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 64.3%
Leila do Vôlei 32%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.2%
Erika Kokay <1%
$47,278 ปริมาณ
$47,278 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
$12,068 ปริมาณ
64%
Leila do Vôlei
$16,364 ปริมาณ
32%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$5,666 ปริมาณ
4%
Erika Kokay
$7,281 ปริมาณ
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$437 ปริมาณ
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 ปริมาณ
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marley
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tiago
$546 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zanata
$417 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,278วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,278วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Federal District Senate race shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) consistently leading first-preference intentions at 21-28%, positioning her as the likely top finisher in the October election for the two available seats. Bia Kicis (PL) has gained ground specifically as a second-choice option, reaching 16.7% in the latest Igape survey released September 20, ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). This pattern, alongside declining undecided voters for the second vote, underpins trader consensus favoring Kicis for second place. Lula's recent public appeals for paired votes between Kokay and do Vôlei, combined with ongoing campaign activity, continue to shape second-preference dynamics ahead of election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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