Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMaranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Roseana Sarney 59%
Lahesio Bonfim 21.6%
Weverton Rocha 11.5%
Fufuca 6.9%
$22,361 ปริมาณ
$22,361 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
59%
Lahesio Bonfim
22%
Weverton Rocha
12%
Fufuca
7%
Eliziane Gama
1%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Roseana Sarney 59%
Lahesio Bonfim 21.6%
Weverton Rocha 11.5%
Fufuca 6.9%
$22,361 ปริมาณ
$22,361 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$15,315 ปริมาณ
59%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,069 ปริมาณ
22%
Weverton Rocha
$2,137 ปริมาณ
12%
Fufuca
$474 ปริมาณ
7%
Eliziane Gama
$361 ปริมาณ
1%
Wilson Leite
$355 ปริมาณ
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$358 ปริมาณ
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$248 ปริมาณ
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,361วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,361วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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