Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 4th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat in the Upstate region encompassing Greenville and Spartanburg with an R+11 partisan voting index. Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's 2024 presidential margin and Timmons' substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared to McClain's limited resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and incumbency benefits ahead of the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or abrupt national political changes altering turnout dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-04 House Election Winner
$43,734 ปริมาณ
$43,734 ปริมาณ
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
$43,734 ปริมาณ
$43,734 ปริมาณ
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 4th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat in the Upstate region encompassing Greenville and Spartanburg with an R+11 partisan voting index. Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's 2024 presidential margin and Timmons' substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared to McClain's limited resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and incumbency benefits ahead of the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or abrupt national political changes altering turnout dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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