Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after prevailing in the August 6, 2026 primary with 43.6 percent of the vote against Van Hilleary and other challengers, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent John Rose. The district’s consistent Republican performance, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index around R+13 and unanimous forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Garrett at 94.5 percent. Croley’s Democratic primary victory and modest fundraising have not altered the structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to unusually low turnout, a major unforeseen scandal affecting either candidate, or a national political realignment of historic scale before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-06 House Election Winner
$14,321 ปริมาณ
$14,321 ปริมาณ
Johnny Garrett (R)
95%
Mike Croley (D)
6%
$14,321 ปริมาณ
$14,321 ปริมาณ
Johnny Garrett (R)
95%
Mike Croley (D)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after prevailing in the August 6, 2026 primary with 43.6 percent of the vote against Van Hilleary and other challengers, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent John Rose. The district’s consistent Republican performance, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index around R+13 and unanimous forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Garrett at 94.5 percent. Croley’s Democratic primary victory and modest fundraising have not altered the structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to unusually low turnout, a major unforeseen scandal affecting either candidate, or a national political realignment of historic scale before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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