Martial law in Ukraine, extended through October 31, 2026, continues to prohibit presidential and parliamentary elections under the constitution and related legislation. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that active hostilities, security risks, displaced voters abroad, and occupied territories make any vote impossible without a sustained ceasefire, while prioritizing peace negotiations over political processes. All major parties previously agreed to defer national elections until at least six months after martial law ends. Recent polling shows Zelenskyy trailing potential challengers in hypothetical runoffs amid corruption concerns, yet no legislative changes or scheduling announcements have occurred. Traders assess low near-term probability of a call by late 2026 absent major diplomatic or battlefield shifts enabling safe campaigning and voting logistics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วZelenskyy announces Ukraine preparing for fresh talks with Trump’s envoys amid ongoing conflict
August 31, 2026 dips to 0%2%
President Zelenskyy stated Ukraine was preparing for new talks with U.S. envoys, emphasizing ongoing conflict and security challenges, which maintained uncertainty about election timing and contributed to market price declines.
No official announcement of 2025 election date as martial law continues
August 31, 2026 dips to 0%1%
By late August 2026, no official date for a 2025 presidential election was announced due to ongoing martial law, confirming market expectations that elections would be held later, reflected in the August 31, 2026 outcome price falling to 0%.
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