Ukraine's next presidential election remains blocked by martial law, extended by parliament for the 20th time through October 31, 2026, under constitutional rules prohibiting votes during active conflict. President Zelenskyy stated in mid-September 2026 that he is prepared to hold elections immediately if conditions allow, but cited insurmountable barriers including security risks for voters and polling stations, the presence of millions of displaced citizens abroad, and the inability to conduct voting in Russian-occupied territories. All major parties previously agreed to defer national elections until at least six months after martial law ends, which hinges on a ceasefire or war conclusion. Recent polling shows Zelenskyy's support has declined sharply, with potential challengers leading hypothetical post-war matchups. Trader sentiment reflects these structural and wartime constraints rather than any near-term scheduling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWorking group presents draft legislation for post-war elections
December 31, 2026 dips to 9%1%
On March 20, 2026, Ukrainian lawmakers and partners presented outcomes of a working group preparing legislative proposals for organizing elections during a special period or post-war. This indicated technical preparation but no immediate election scheduling, maintaining market skepticism about elections in 2025-26.
Public opinion strongly opposes elections during wartime
December 31, 2026 dips to 10%1%
Surveys from 2023 showed that a majority of Ukrainians opposed holding presidential or parliamentary elections until the war was over, supporting the political stance against elections during martial law and influencing market sentiment.
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