Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia,” the lead single from her 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, holds the strongest position in the 2026 VMA Best Pop category at 67% implied probability. The track logged nine weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 and earned Swift nine total nominations, including Video of the Year and multiple technical nods, trailing only Madonna’s 11. Its elaborate visual campaign and commercial dominance have shaped trader consensus ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. Fan voting closes Sept. 25, amplifying momentum for the frontrunner. Lower-odds entries such as Tate McRae’s “Nobody’s Girl” (23.5%), Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead” (13%), and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” (10.5%) reflect solid but comparatively narrower chart impact and fewer overall nods within the eligibility window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVMA Best Pop 2026
VMA Best Pop 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 67%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae) 16.0%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo) 13%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 9%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
67%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
16%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)
13%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
9%
Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi)
8%
House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 67%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae) 16.0%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo) 13%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 9%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
67%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
16%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)
13%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
9%
Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi)
8%
House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia,” the lead single from her 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, holds the strongest position in the 2026 VMA Best Pop category at 67% implied probability. The track logged nine weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 and earned Swift nine total nominations, including Video of the Year and multiple technical nods, trailing only Madonna’s 11. Its elaborate visual campaign and commercial dominance have shaped trader consensus ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. Fan voting closes Sept. 25, amplifying momentum for the frontrunner. Lower-odds entries such as Tate McRae’s “Nobody’s Girl” (23.5%), Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead” (13%), and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” (10.5%) reflect solid but comparatively narrower chart impact and fewer overall nods within the eligibility window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย