Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the edge in Video of the Year trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability, driven by its nine-week Billboard Hot 100 run, strong streaming metrics, and Swift’s record five prior wins in the category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 25.5% on the strength of 11 total VMA nominations, critical praise for its Tribeca premiere and star-studded visual album format, plus her upcoming opening performance at the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees trail far behind, reflecting weaker chart trajectories and fewer guild or precursor signals. With fan voting closing Sept. 25, the race hinges on how industry voters weigh Swift’s commercial dominance against Madonna’s artistic legacy and recent momentum in a historically unpredictable category.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVMA Video of the Year 2026
VMA Video of the Year 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 59%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 33%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter) 7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
59%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
33%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
4%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
4%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 59%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 33%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter) 7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
59%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
33%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
4%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the edge in Video of the Year trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability, driven by its nine-week Billboard Hot 100 run, strong streaming metrics, and Swift’s record five prior wins in the category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 25.5% on the strength of 11 total VMA nominations, critical praise for its Tribeca premiere and star-studded visual album format, plus her upcoming opening performance at the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees trail far behind, reflecting weaker chart trajectories and fewer guild or precursor signals. With fan voting closing Sept. 25, the race hinges on how industry voters weigh Swift’s commercial dominance against Madonna’s artistic legacy and recent momentum in a historically unpredictable category.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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