Incumbent Kim Schrier advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote in the 8th district, securing the Democratic line against Republican Spencer Meline, who finished second with roughly 16 percent amid a fragmented GOP field. The district’s D+3 partisan voter index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established fundraising edge of roughly $3 million versus under $130,000 for her general-election opponent underpin trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Meline’s path would require substantial shifts in suburban and exurban turnout patterns east of Seattle or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$22,782 ปริมาณ
$22,782 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
97%
Spencer Meline (R)
2%
$22,782 ปริมาณ
$22,782 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
$9,594 ปริมาณ
97%
Spencer Meline (R)
$13,188 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kim Schrier advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote in the 8th district, securing the Democratic line against Republican Spencer Meline, who finished second with roughly 16 percent amid a fragmented GOP field. The district’s D+3 partisan voter index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established fundraising edge of roughly $3 million versus under $130,000 for her general-election opponent underpin trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Meline’s path would require substantial shifts in suburban and exurban turnout patterns east of Seattle or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,782วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kim Schrier advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote in the 8th district, securing the Democratic line against Republican Spencer Meline, who finished second with roughly 16 percent amid a fragmented GOP field. The district’s D+3 partisan voter index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established fundraising edge of roughly $3 million versus under $130,000 for her general-election opponent underpin trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Meline’s path would require substantial shifts in suburban and exurban turnout patterns east of Seattle or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,782วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kim Schrier advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote in the 8th district, securing the Democratic line against Republican Spencer Meline, who finished second with roughly 16 percent amid a fragmented GOP field. The district’s D+3 partisan voter index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established fundraising edge of roughly $3 million versus under $130,000 for her general-election opponent underpin trader consensus near 97 percent for a Democratic hold. Meline’s path would require substantial shifts in suburban and exurban turnout patterns east of Seattle or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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