Rebecca Cooke holds a strong edge in the WI-03 House race as the Democratic challenger in this competitive western Wisconsin swing district, where recent polling averages show her narrowly ahead or tied with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Key drivers include Cooke's decisive August primary win, substantial fundraising advantage, and overperformance relative to prior Democratic benchmarks in the 2024 rematch she lost by under three points. Van Orden faces headwinds from lower favorability ratings in district surveys and the district's even partisan lean, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamics ahead of the November general election. Recent clearance of electioneering concerns involving Cooke has removed a potential distraction without altering the underlying contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
$4,452 ปริมาณ
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
$2,073 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke holds a strong edge in the WI-03 House race as the Democratic challenger in this competitive western Wisconsin swing district, where recent polling averages show her narrowly ahead or tied with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Key drivers include Cooke's decisive August primary win, substantial fundraising advantage, and overperformance relative to prior Democratic benchmarks in the 2024 rematch she lost by under three points. Van Orden faces headwinds from lower favorability ratings in district surveys and the district's even partisan lean, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamics ahead of the November general election. Recent clearance of electioneering concerns involving Cooke has removed a potential distraction without altering the underlying contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,525วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke holds a strong edge in the WI-03 House race as the Democratic challenger in this competitive western Wisconsin swing district, where recent polling averages show her narrowly ahead or tied with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Key drivers include Cooke's decisive August primary win, substantial fundraising advantage, and overperformance relative to prior Democratic benchmarks in the 2024 rematch she lost by under three points. Van Orden faces headwinds from lower favorability ratings in district surveys and the district's even partisan lean, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamics ahead of the November general election. Recent clearance of electioneering concerns involving Cooke has removed a potential distraction without altering the underlying contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,525วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke holds a strong edge in the WI-03 House race as the Democratic challenger in this competitive western Wisconsin swing district, where recent polling averages show her narrowly ahead or tied with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. Key drivers include Cooke's decisive August primary win, substantial fundraising advantage, and overperformance relative to prior Democratic benchmarks in the 2024 rematch she lost by under three points. Van Orden faces headwinds from lower favorability ratings in district surveys and the district's even partisan lean, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamics ahead of the November general election. Recent clearance of electioneering concerns involving Cooke has removed a potential distraction without altering the underlying contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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