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icon for Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
Politika·Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
Politika·Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

4.25M-4.5M 38%

4M-4.25M 37%

4.5M-4.75M 14%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

4.25M-4.5M 38%

4M-4.25M 37%

4.5M-4.75M 14%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

<3.25M

$632 Vol.

3%

3.25M-3.5M

$1,561 Vol.

1%

3.5M-3.75M

$505 Vol.

4%

3.75M-4M

$422 Vol.

11%

4M-4.25M

$1,969 Vol.

37%

4.25M-4.5M

$1,733 Vol.

38%

4.5M-4.75M

$1,635 Vol.

14%

4.75M+

$880 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Democratic primary participation in Illinois surged nearly 50% above 2022 levels, reaching about 1.28 million ballots amid competitive Senate and House contests, which traders view as a signal of stronger base mobilization heading into the November general election. This enthusiasm, linked to national political dynamics, contrasts with notably lower Republican primary turnout and aligns with the market's clustering around 4M-4.5M total votes. Historical midterm patterns, including 4.14 million ballots cast in 2022, provide the baseline, while Republican efforts to lift downstate participation and Democratic focus on suburban and urban engagement introduce variability. The close pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether these factors will push overall turnout modestly above or below recent midterms, with early voting access and registration trends as additional variables that could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,337
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Democratic primary participation in Illinois surged nearly 50% above 2022 levels, reaching about 1.28 million ballots amid competitive Senate and House contests, which traders view as a signal of stronger base mobilization heading into the November general election. This enthusiasm, linked to national political dynamics, contrasts with notably lower Republican primary turnout and aligns with the market's clustering around 4M-4.5M total votes. Historical midterm patterns, including 4.14 million ballots cast in 2022, provide the baseline, while Republican efforts to lift downstate participation and Democratic focus on suburban and urban engagement introduce variability. The close pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether these factors will push overall turnout modestly above or below recent midterms, with early voting access and registration trends as additional variables that could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,337
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "4.25M-4.5M" sa 38%, sinusundan ng "4M-4.25M" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 38¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" ay "4.25M-4.5M" sa 38%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "4M-4.25M" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.