**Recent secondary market data shows the Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box trading near or slightly below the $120.98 threshold, supporting the 60.5% implied probability for “Under.”** Released March 27, 2026, as a Pokémon Center exclusive with 11 booster packs and a stamped Tyrunt promo, the product launched at higher premiums but has seen sustained price erosion typical of sealed TCG items months after release. Market prices on major platforms currently sit around $120.94–$121.24, with recent sales clustering near $120 and listings starting in the low $120s. This reflects broader cooling in Pokémon TCG sealed product values, including declines across summer 2026 releases as supply normalizes and speculative demand fades. Historical tracking for this specific ETB shows a steep drop from peaks above $300 to the current range, with July–August volatility settling lower amid consistent daily sales volume. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing secondary market softening (documented in late-August industry reports) and the absence of fresh hype or restock-driven spikes heading into the resolution date. While the Pokémon Center variant retains a modest premium over the standard ETB, the prevailing downward trajectory and tight clustering around the strike price tilt trader sentiment toward the under side.