**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with several candidates clustered within margins of error, leaving the contest for second place highly competitive among traders.** Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT) and André Moura (União Brasil) benefit from a formal coalition that coordinates first- and second-choice votes, while Delegado André David (Republicanos) and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) appear frequently near the top of late-August and early-September surveys. Other contenders including Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo (PDT) remain within striking distance in multiple institutes, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20 percent. This volatility, combined with the dual-vote system and regional alliances, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Late-campaign developments such as final poll releases, candidate debates, or shifts in coalition turnout could separate the pack before the October 4 election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRogerio Carvalho 33%
Delegado André David 26.4%
André Moura 19%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,745 Vol.
$30,745 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
33%
Delegado André David
19%
André Moura
19%
Eduardo Amorim
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
2%
Edvaldo
1%
Delegado Alessandro
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 33%
Delegado André David 26.4%
André Moura 19%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,745 Vol.
$30,745 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$7,886 Vol.
33%
Delegado André David
$4,339 Vol.
19%
André Moura
$5,546 Vol.
19%
Eduardo Amorim
$3,107 Vol.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,738 Vol.
2%
Edvaldo
$1,291 Vol.
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$2,103 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$1,114 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$776 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with several candidates clustered within margins of error, leaving the contest for second place highly competitive among traders.**
Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT) and André Moura (União Brasil) benefit from a formal coalition that coordinates first- and second-choice votes, while Delegado André David (Republicanos) and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) appear frequently near the top of late-August and early-September surveys. Other contenders including Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo (PDT) remain within striking distance in multiple institutes, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20 percent.
This volatility, combined with the dual-vote system and regional alliances, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Late-campaign developments such as final poll releases, candidate debates, or shifts in coalition turnout could separate the pack before the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$30,745Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with several candidates clustered within margins of error, leaving the contest for second place highly competitive among traders.**
Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT) and André Moura (União Brasil) benefit from a formal coalition that coordinates first- and second-choice votes, while Delegado André David (Republicanos) and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) appear frequently near the top of late-August and early-September surveys. Other contenders including Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo (PDT) remain within striking distance in multiple institutes, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20 percent.
This volatility, combined with the dual-vote system and regional alliances, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Late-campaign developments such as final poll releases, candidate debates, or shifts in coalition turnout could separate the pack before the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,745Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with several candidates clustered within margins of error, leaving the contest for second place highly competitive among traders.** Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT) and André Moura (União Brasil) benefit from a formal coalition that coordinates first- and second-choice votes, while Delegado André David (Republicanos) and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) appear frequently near the top of late-August and early-September surveys. Other contenders including Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo (PDT) remain within striking distance in multiple institutes, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20 percent. This volatility, combined with the dual-vote system and regional alliances, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Late-campaign developments such as final poll releases, candidate debates, or shifts in coalition turnout could separate the pack before the October 4 election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong