Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLula 95.4%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.1%
Clariana Barao 1.4%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$13,729 Vol.
$13,729 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
3%
Clariana Barao
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 95.4%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.1%
Clariana Barao 1.4%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$13,729 Vol.
$13,729 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$7,347 Vol.
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$547 Vol.
3%
Clariana Barao
$1,083 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$486 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$470 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$486 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$470 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$492 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$498 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$478 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$411 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$469 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Volume
$13,729Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$13,729Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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