Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back. High undecided rates of 17-67% and the dual-vote system sustain a fragmented contest where small shifts in turnout or consolidation can reorder top finishes. Trader pricing reflects this tightness, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability among listed options amid PL internal resource allocation and recent visibility from Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign events in the state. Upcoming debates and final-week alliances remain key variables before the October 4 vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNicoletti 39.9%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helio Bolsonaro 19.8%
Helena da Asatur 6.4%
$54,193 Vol.
$54,193 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
35%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helio Bolsonaro
20%
Helena da Asatur
6%
Chico Rodrigues
2%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 39.9%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helio Bolsonaro 19.8%
Helena da Asatur 6.4%
$54,193 Vol.
$54,193 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$11,698 Vol.
35%
Teresa Surita
$22,817 Vol.
26%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,387 Vol.
20%
Helena da Asatur
$3,255 Vol.
6%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,713 Vol.
2%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back. High undecided rates of 17-67% and the dual-vote system sustain a fragmented contest where small shifts in turnout or consolidation can reorder top finishes. Trader pricing reflects this tightness, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability among listed options amid PL internal resource allocation and recent visibility from Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign events in the state. Upcoming debates and final-week alliances remain key variables before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$54,193Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back. High undecided rates of 17-67% and the dual-vote system sustain a fragmented contest where small shifts in turnout or consolidation can reorder top finishes. Trader pricing reflects this tightness, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability among listed options amid PL internal resource allocation and recent visibility from Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign events in the state. Upcoming debates and final-week alliances remain key variables before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$54,193Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back. High undecided rates of 17-67% and the dual-vote system sustain a fragmented contest where small shifts in turnout or consolidation can reorder top finishes. Trader pricing reflects this tightness, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability among listed options amid PL internal resource allocation and recent visibility from Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign events in the state. Upcoming debates and final-week alliances remain key variables before the October 4 vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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