**Trader consensus centers on 50–74 tornadoes for September 2026, with the 25–49 and 75–124 bins close behind, reflecting substantial early-month uncertainty around the climatological average of roughly 66 confirmed tornadoes.** September activity typically declines as the mid-latitude jet weakens and shifts, limiting widespread severe environments unless landfalling tropical cyclones inject moisture, shear, and lift into the Southeast. Historical data show wide year-to-year variability, with counts dropping below 50 in years lacking such systems and rising sharply when multiple Gulf or Atlantic landfalls occur. Early September 2026 has featured isolated events, including an EF2 in Detroit and several weak tornadoes in New York, but no organized outbreak or tropical influence has yet materialized. Model guidance and sea-surface temperature patterns offer limited predictability this far into fall, leaving room for rapid shifts if late-month steering patterns favor Gulf moisture return or if an unexpected tropical system develops.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUS Tornadoes in September 2026
US Tornadoes in September 2026
25 - 49 47%
50 - 74 47%
75 - 124 44%
Under 25 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 14, 2026
Under 25
16%
25 - 49
47%
50 - 74
47%
75 - 124
44%
125 or more
16%
25 - 49 47%
50 - 74 47%
75 - 124 44%
Under 25 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 14, 2026
Under 25
$0 Vol.
16%
25 - 49
$0 Vol.
47%
50 - 74
$0 Vol.
47%
75 - 124
$0 Vol.
44%
125 or more
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.**Trader consensus centers on 50–74 tornadoes for September 2026, with the 25–49 and 75–124 bins close behind, reflecting substantial early-month uncertainty around the climatological average of roughly 66 confirmed tornadoes.** September activity typically declines as the mid-latitude jet weakens and shifts, limiting widespread severe environments unless landfalling tropical cyclones inject moisture, shear, and lift into the Southeast. Historical data show wide year-to-year variability, with counts dropping below 50 in years lacking such systems and rising sharply when multiple Gulf or Atlantic landfalls occur. Early September 2026 has featured isolated events, including an EF2 in Detroit and several weak tornadoes in New York, but no organized outbreak or tropical influence has yet materialized. Model guidance and sea-surface temperature patterns offer limited predictability this far into fall, leaving room for rapid shifts if late-month steering patterns favor Gulf moisture return or if an unexpected tropical system develops.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.**Trader consensus centers on 50–74 tornadoes for September 2026, with the 25–49 and 75–124 bins close behind, reflecting substantial early-month uncertainty around the climatological average of roughly 66 confirmed tornadoes.** September activity typically declines as the mid-latitude jet weakens and shifts, limiting widespread severe environments unless landfalling tropical cyclones inject moisture, shear, and lift into the Southeast. Historical data show wide year-to-year variability, with counts dropping below 50 in years lacking such systems and rising sharply when multiple Gulf or Atlantic landfalls occur. Early September 2026 has featured isolated events, including an EF2 in Detroit and several weak tornadoes in New York, but no organized outbreak or tropical influence has yet materialized. Model guidance and sea-surface temperature patterns offer limited predictability this far into fall, leaving room for rapid shifts if late-month steering patterns favor Gulf moisture return or if an unexpected tropical system develops.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 50–74 tornadoes for September 2026, with the 25–49 and 75–124 bins close behind, reflecting substantial early-month uncertainty around the climatological average of roughly 66 confirmed tornadoes.** September activity typically declines as the mid-latitude jet weakens and shifts, limiting widespread severe environments unless landfalling tropical cyclones inject moisture, shear, and lift into the Southeast. Historical data show wide year-to-year variability, with counts dropping below 50 in years lacking such systems and rising sharply when multiple Gulf or Atlantic landfalls occur. Early September 2026 has featured isolated events, including an EF2 in Detroit and several weak tornadoes in New York, but no organized outbreak or tropical influence has yet materialized. Model guidance and sea-surface temperature patterns offer limited predictability this far into fall, leaving room for rapid shifts if late-month steering patterns favor Gulf moisture return or if an unexpected tropical system develops.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong