Traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to "No" on Jesus Christ's return before 2027 because no verifiable developments, official announcements, or observable signs have emerged to shift expectations in the brief remaining window. Historical patterns of unfulfilled end-times predictions and the absence of supporting cultural or religious milestones reinforce the market's strong consensus, treating the outcome as dependent on concrete events rather than speculation. The short timeframe to the 2027 cutoff further cements this view, as any resolution would require an unprecedented, widely confirmed occurrence. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to sudden, globally recognized phenomena that could prompt reinterpretation, though none are currently indicated by credible reports or industry-like momentum in religious discourse.