Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено600B+ 95.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.0%
<100B 1.7%
400–600B <1%
$442,315 Обс.
$442,315 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
2%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
95%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
600B+ 95.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.0%
<100B 1.7%
400–600B <1%
$442,315 Обс.
$442,315 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$157,784 Обс.
2%
100–200B
$82,754 Обс.
<1%
200–300B
$22,839 Обс.
<1%
300–400B
$73,412 Обс.
<1%
400–600B
$22,527 Обс.
1%
600B+
$48,173 Обс.
95%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$34,827 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$442,315Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$442,315Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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