Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s Democratic lean within Maricopa County and his established record since 2018. Stanton secured a decisive primary victory over progressive challenger Kai Newkirk and benefits from consistent fundraising advantages and endorsements aligned with the New Democrat Coalition. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician and Navy veteran, advanced unopposed and has highlighted healthcare costs, border security, and tariffs in recent candidate forums, including a September 2026 Arizona PBS exchange. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, though minor-party No Labels candidates and any late shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$37,233 Обс.
$37,233 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Stanton (D)
95%
Zuhdi Jasser (R)
6%
$37,233 Обс.
$37,233 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Stanton (D)
$25,677 Обс.
95%
Zuhdi Jasser (R)
$11,556 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s Democratic lean within Maricopa County and his established record since 2018. Stanton secured a decisive primary victory over progressive challenger Kai Newkirk and benefits from consistent fundraising advantages and endorsements aligned with the New Democrat Coalition. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician and Navy veteran, advanced unopposed and has highlighted healthcare costs, border security, and tariffs in recent candidate forums, including a September 2026 Arizona PBS exchange. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, though minor-party No Labels candidates and any late shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$37,233Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s Democratic lean within Maricopa County and his established record since 2018. Stanton secured a decisive primary victory over progressive challenger Kai Newkirk and benefits from consistent fundraising advantages and endorsements aligned with the New Democrat Coalition. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician and Navy veteran, advanced unopposed and has highlighted healthcare costs, border security, and tariffs in recent candidate forums, including a September 2026 Arizona PBS exchange. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, though minor-party No Labels candidates and any late shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,233Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s Democratic lean within Maricopa County and his established record since 2018. Stanton secured a decisive primary victory over progressive challenger Kai Newkirk and benefits from consistent fundraising advantages and endorsements aligned with the New Democrat Coalition. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician and Navy veteran, advanced unopposed and has highlighted healthcare costs, border security, and tariffs in recent candidate forums, including a September 2026 Arizona PBS exchange. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, though minor-party No Labels candidates and any late shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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