Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District after defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary with 53.5% of the vote. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point win in 2024, underpin the 95.4% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the November matchup against Amy Chai. A major national political realignment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-breaking scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-01 House Election Winner
CT-01 House Election Winner
$11,721 Обс.
$11,721 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Luke Bronin (D)
95%
Amy Chai (R)
4%
$11,721 Обс.
$11,721 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Luke Bronin (D)
$2,926 Обс.
95%
Amy Chai (R)
$8,795 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District after defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary with 53.5% of the vote. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point win in 2024, underpin the 95.4% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the November matchup against Amy Chai. A major national political realignment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-breaking scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,721Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District after defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary with 53.5% of the vote. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point win in 2024, underpin the 95.4% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the November matchup against Amy Chai. A major national political realignment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-breaking scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,721Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District after defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary with 53.5% of the vote. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point win in 2024, underpin the 95.4% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the November matchup against Amy Chai. A major national political realignment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-breaking scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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