Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and repeated ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Himes, serving since 2009 and re-elected with 61% in 2024, faces no Democratic primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Challenger Michael Goldstein, who won the Republican primary but previously lost to Himes in 2024 and earlier cycles, has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus prices this outcome as highly probable, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the result in the remaining weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$48,179 Обс.
$48,179 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
98%
Michael Goldstein (R)
2%
$48,179 Обс.
$48,179 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
$22,193 Обс.
98%
Michael Goldstein (R)
$25,986 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and repeated ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Himes, serving since 2009 and re-elected with 61% in 2024, faces no Democratic primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Challenger Michael Goldstein, who won the Republican primary but previously lost to Himes in 2024 and earlier cycles, has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus prices this outcome as highly probable, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the result in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,179Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and repeated ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Himes, serving since 2009 and re-elected with 61% in 2024, faces no Democratic primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Challenger Michael Goldstein, who won the Republican primary but previously lost to Himes in 2024 and earlier cycles, has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus prices this outcome as highly probable, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the result in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$48,179Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and repeated ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Himes, serving since 2009 and re-elected with 61% in 2024, faces no Democratic primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Challenger Michael Goldstein, who won the Republican primary but previously lost to Himes in 2024 and earlier cycles, has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus prices this outcome as highly probable, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the result in the remaining weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання