Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, McBride’s uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, and the limited statewide profile of Republican nominee Joseph Arminio following his primary win. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$43,810 Обс.
$43,810 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,810 Обс.
$43,810 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,359 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$38,450 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, McBride’s uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, and the limited statewide profile of Republican nominee Joseph Arminio following his primary win. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$43,810Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, McBride’s uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, and the limited statewide profile of Republican nominee Joseph Arminio following his primary win. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$43,810Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, McBride’s uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, and the limited statewide profile of Republican nominee Joseph Arminio following his primary win. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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