Trader consensus against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027 reflects the absence of viable legislative pathways and sustained institutional support for the central bank. Bills such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in 2025 remain stalled in committee with minimal co-sponsorship, while recent developments center on internal reforms, task forces examining balance-sheet policy and communications, and court affirmations of monetary-policy independence. Pressure from the executive branch has focused on interest-rate decisions amid elevated inflation rather than structural elimination. Any shift would require repealing the Federal Reserve Act, navigating Senate filibuster thresholds or reconciliation limits, and managing transition of payment systems and lender-of-last-resort functions—barriers that explain the 98 percent implied probability. Late-session debt-ceiling negotiations or an acute financial crisis represent the narrowest scenarios that could reopen debate within the resolution window.