Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in every governor's race since 1998. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from both President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican, won his party's contest but faces limited resources. Donalds maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million on hand compared to Jolly's under $6 million as of early September reports. Recent campaign activity centers on Donalds' ads targeting affordability and Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, alongside mixed polling that shows a narrow or statistically tied race. Prediction markets reflect these structural and financial factors over individual surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$62,289 Обс.
$62,289 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$62,289 Обс.
$62,289 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$29,059 Обс.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$33,230 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in every governor's race since 1998. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from both President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican, won his party's contest but faces limited resources. Donalds maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million on hand compared to Jolly's under $6 million as of early September reports. Recent campaign activity centers on Donalds' ads targeting affordability and Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, alongside mixed polling that shows a narrow or statistically tied race. Prediction markets reflect these structural and financial factors over individual surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$62,289Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in every governor's race since 1998. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from both President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican, won his party's contest but faces limited resources. Donalds maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million on hand compared to Jolly's under $6 million as of early September reports. Recent campaign activity centers on Donalds' ads targeting affordability and Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, alongside mixed polling that shows a narrow or statistically tied race. Prediction markets reflect these structural and financial factors over individual surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$62,289Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in every governor's race since 1998. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from both President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican, won his party's contest but faces limited resources. Donalds maintains a commanding fundraising edge, with over $41 million on hand compared to Jolly's under $6 million as of early September reports. Recent campaign activity centers on Donalds' ads targeting affordability and Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, alongside mixed polling that shows a narrow or statistically tied race. Prediction markets reflect these structural and financial factors over individual surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання