**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, in Paris aligns with real-time forecast data and official guidance.** Multiple meteorological models and agency briefings, including GFS outputs and French sources, project a daytime maximum of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with west-southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h and gusts to 45–50 km/h. This keeps surface heating limited, matching the climatological average high of roughly 23.8°C for the date. Afternoon readings have stabilized near this level without the clear-sky insolation or warmer advection needed for significant exceedance. While late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high, the consistent observational and forecast consensus across sources makes such scenarios highly improbable at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 31?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$84,048 Обс.
$84,048 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$84,048 Обс.
$84,048 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$242 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,336 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,181 Обс.
No
22°C
$17,826 Обс.
No
23°C
$23,549 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$15,592 Обс.
No
25°C
$10,786 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,363 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,463 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,312 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$1,398 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, in Paris aligns with real-time forecast data and official guidance.** Multiple meteorological models and agency briefings, including GFS outputs and French sources, project a daytime maximum of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with west-southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h and gusts to 45–50 km/h. This keeps surface heating limited, matching the climatological average high of roughly 23.8°C for the date. Afternoon readings have stabilized near this level without the clear-sky insolation or warmer advection needed for significant exceedance. While late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high, the consistent observational and forecast consensus across sources makes such scenarios highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$84,048Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, in Paris aligns with real-time forecast data and official guidance.** Multiple meteorological models and agency briefings, including GFS outputs and French sources, project a daytime maximum of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with west-southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h and gusts to 45–50 km/h. This keeps surface heating limited, matching the climatological average high of roughly 23.8°C for the date. Afternoon readings have stabilized near this level without the clear-sky insolation or warmer advection needed for significant exceedance. While late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high, the consistent observational and forecast consensus across sources makes such scenarios highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$84,048Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, in Paris aligns with real-time forecast data and official guidance.** Multiple meteorological models and agency briefings, including GFS outputs and French sources, project a daytime maximum of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with west-southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h and gusts to 45–50 km/h. This keeps surface heating limited, matching the climatological average high of roughly 23.8°C for the date. Afternoon readings have stabilized near this level without the clear-sky insolation or warmer advection needed for significant exceedance. While late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high, the consistent observational and forecast consensus across sources makes such scenarios highly improbable at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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