Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voting Index around +11, combined with overwhelming fundraising that has left his campaign with millions in cash on hand while his Democratic opponent Paul Nolley trails significantly. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through March primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and limited polling movement. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$38,992 Обс.
$38,992 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
7%
$38,992 Обс.
$38,992 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
$15,407 Обс.
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
$23,585 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voting Index around +11, combined with overwhelming fundraising that has left his campaign with millions in cash on hand while his Democratic opponent Paul Nolley trails significantly. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through March primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and limited polling movement. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,992Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voting Index around +11, combined with overwhelming fundraising that has left his campaign with millions in cash on hand while his Democratic opponent Paul Nolley trails significantly. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through March primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and limited polling movement. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$38,992Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voting Index around +11, combined with overwhelming fundraising that has left his campaign with millions in cash on hand while his Democratic opponent Paul Nolley trails significantly. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through March primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and limited polling movement. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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