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Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Sep 1

Oct 1

Jan 1, 2027

Sep 1

Oct 1

Jan 1, 2027

$11,856 Обс.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$11,856 Обс.

Polymarket

2800+

$1,802 Обс.

100%

2825+

$1,759 Обс.

99%

2850+

$3,382 Обс.

100%

2900+

$1,686 Обс.

100%

2950+

$3,228 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission driven by low MMR vaccination coverage—now at 92.4% among kindergartners—has produced 2,903 confirmed U.S. cases in 2026 through August 27, per CDC data updated August 30, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Nearly all cases (94%) involve unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals, with 94% linked to outbreaks across 47 jurisdictions; hotspots in Pennsylvania and Ohio account for recent weekly additions exceeding 200 cases. The highly contagious virus (R0 of 12–18) sustains chains primarily through domestic spread rather than imports, with 7% hospitalization rates and the first 2026 deaths reported in Pennsylvania. CDC weekly surveillance releases and state health department reports through the end of August will finalize the cumulative count for market resolution, while declining exemption rates and model projections of further growth inform trader assessments of total incidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Обсяг
$11,856
Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission driven by low MMR vaccination coverage—now at 92.4% among kindergartners—has produced 2,903 confirmed U.S. cases in 2026 through August 27, per CDC data updated August 30, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Nearly all cases (94%) involve unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals, with 94% linked to outbreaks across 47 jurisdictions; hotspots in Pennsylvania and Ohio account for recent weekly additions exceeding 200 cases. The highly contagious virus (R0 of 12–18) sustains chains primarily through domestic spread rather than imports, with 7% hospitalization rates and the first 2026 deaths reported in Pennsylvania. CDC weekly surveillance releases and state health department reports through the end of August will finalize the cumulative count for market resolution, while declining exemption rates and model projections of further growth inform trader assessments of total incidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Обсяг
$11,856
Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «2800+» з 100%, далі «2850+» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?» згенерував $11.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?» — «2800+» з 100%. Наступний — «2850+» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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