North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of northern Chatham and eastern Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Max Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$46,354 Обс.
$46,354 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
94%
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
$46,354 Обс.
$46,354 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
$15,229 Обс.
94%
Max Ganorkar (R)
$31,125 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of northern Chatham and eastern Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Max Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$46,354Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of northern Chatham and eastern Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Max Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$46,354Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of northern Chatham and eastern Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Max Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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