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Політика·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Політика·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 17%

Werner Graf 2.6%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Обс.

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 17%

Werner Graf 2.6%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Обс.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$17,928 Обс.

81%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$14,049 Обс.

17%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$7,425 Обс.

3%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$1,448 Обс.

1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,234 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 80.5% implied probability as the next Governing Mayor of Berlin, well ahead of Stefan Evers (CDU) at 17% and lower shares for Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), Kristin Brinker (AfD), and others.** The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a tight multi-party race in which recent polling places Die Linke narrowly ahead or competitive at roughly 22%, followed closely by the CDU, Greens, and others in the mid-to-high teens. Eralp’s position strengthened after incumbent CDU mayor Kai Wegner withdrew as lead candidate in July 2026 amid criticism of his handling of a January power outage and related statements. Stefan Evers, the current finance senator, took over as CDU top candidate. Die Linke’s momentum, Eralp’s focus on housing affordability and rents, and the realistic prospect of a left-leaning three-party coalition (Linke–Greens–SPD) explain the strong market pricing. Traders assign lower odds to alternatives because no single party is near a majority and coalition math favors the current frontrunner. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election negotiations, with resolution tied to formation of the next governing coalition.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$43,085
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 80.5% implied probability as the next Governing Mayor of Berlin, well ahead of Stefan Evers (CDU) at 17% and lower shares for Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), Kristin Brinker (AfD), and others.** The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a tight multi-party race in which recent polling places Die Linke narrowly ahead or competitive at roughly 22%, followed closely by the CDU, Greens, and others in the mid-to-high teens. Eralp’s position strengthened after incumbent CDU mayor Kai Wegner withdrew as lead candidate in July 2026 amid criticism of his handling of a January power outage and related statements. Stefan Evers, the current finance senator, took over as CDU top candidate. Die Linke’s momentum, Eralp’s focus on housing affordability and rents, and the realistic prospect of a left-leaning three-party coalition (Linke–Greens–SPD) explain the strong market pricing. Traders assign lower odds to alternatives because no single party is near a majority and coalition math favors the current frontrunner. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election negotiations, with resolution tied to formation of the next governing coalition.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$43,085
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

92%
icon for Чи здобуде Ліві найбільше місць на виборах до парламенту землі Берлін у 2026 році?

Чи здобуде Ліві найбільше місць на виборах до парламенту землі Берлін у 2026 році?

60%
Так
icon for Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

40%
Over

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Elif Eralp» з 81%, далі «Stefan Evers» з 17%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» згенерував $43.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» — «Elif Eralp» з 81%. Наступний — «Stefan Evers» з 17%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.