The open NJ-12 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a registration edge exceeding 2-to-1 and where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 14.5-point presidential edge in 2024. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with endorsements from progressive leaders and strong fundraising, positioning him to maintain the seat in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gregg Mele advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies could still alter the final tally before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$29,457 Обс.
$29,457 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
96%
Gregg Mele (R)
3%
$29,457 Обс.
$29,457 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
$20,673 Обс.
96%
Gregg Mele (R)
$8,784 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NJ-12 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a registration edge exceeding 2-to-1 and where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 14.5-point presidential edge in 2024. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with endorsements from progressive leaders and strong fundraising, positioning him to maintain the seat in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gregg Mele advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies could still alter the final tally before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,457Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NJ-12 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a registration edge exceeding 2-to-1 and where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 14.5-point presidential edge in 2024. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with endorsements from progressive leaders and strong fundraising, positioning him to maintain the seat in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gregg Mele advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies could still alter the final tally before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$29,457Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The open NJ-12 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a registration edge exceeding 2-to-1 and where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 14.5-point presidential edge in 2024. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with endorsements from progressive leaders and strong fundraising, positioning him to maintain the seat in a race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gregg Mele advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies could still alter the final tally before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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