**Rebounding energy costs and base effects from last year's price spikes are positioning the 5.1%+ outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 79.5% for the August 2026 PPI YoY reading.** July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, missing the 4.9% consensus amid sharp energy declines, which eased near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC. However, oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services pressures have shifted trader consensus toward a reversal, with lower-probability bins clustered below 5.0%. The BLS release, due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, represents the final data point before the policy decision and will clarify whether upstream relief persists into final demand.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено5.1%+ 84%
5.0% 8.5%
4.9% 6.9%
4.6% 4.9%
$20,833 Обс.
$20,833 Обс.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
5%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
5%
4.9%
7%
5.0%
7%
5.1%+
84%
5.1%+ 84%
5.0% 8.5%
4.9% 6.9%
4.6% 4.9%
$20,833 Обс.
$20,833 Обс.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
5%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
5%
4.9%
7%
5.0%
7%
5.1%+
84%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Rebounding energy costs and base effects from last year's price spikes are positioning the 5.1%+ outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 79.5% for the August 2026 PPI YoY reading.** July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, missing the 4.9% consensus amid sharp energy declines, which eased near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC. However, oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services pressures have shifted trader consensus toward a reversal, with lower-probability bins clustered below 5.0%. The BLS release, due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, represents the final data point before the policy decision and will clarify whether upstream relief persists into final demand.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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