**Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a clear edge in trader pricing for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat remains in a Republican-leaning coastal district with a partisan voting index around R+6.** Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor instead of seeking re-election created the first open contest since 2013, drawing crowded primaries that produced Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman, and Democrat Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy rear admiral, as the November 3 general-election matchup. A July 2026 Democratic poll showed the race within two points in a head-to-head test, yet forecasters continue to rate the district Likely Republican and models project Honeycutt winning by roughly six to ten points. With limited new polling since the June runoffs and no major late-breaking developments, trader consensus reflects the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical voting patterns rather than any shift in momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-01 House Election Winner
$54,959 Обс.
$54,959 Обс.
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
$54,959 Обс.
$54,959 Обс.
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a clear edge in trader pricing for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat remains in a Republican-leaning coastal district with a partisan voting index around R+6.** Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor instead of seeking re-election created the first open contest since 2013, drawing crowded primaries that produced Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman, and Democrat Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy rear admiral, as the November 3 general-election matchup. A July 2026 Democratic poll showed the race within two points in a head-to-head test, yet forecasters continue to rate the district Likely Republican and models project Honeycutt winning by roughly six to ten points. With limited new polling since the June runoffs and no major late-breaking developments, trader consensus reflects the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical voting patterns rather than any shift in momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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