Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоParaná Governor Election Winner
Paraná Governor Election Winner
Sergio Moro 80%
Sandro Alex 20%
Alexandre Curi 1.0%
Requião Filho <1%
$101,901 Обс.
$101,901 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
80%
Sandro Alex
20%
Alexandre Curi
1%
Requião Filho
<1%
Beto Richa
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Luiz França
<1%
Rafael Greca
<1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Sergio Moro 80%
Sandro Alex 20%
Alexandre Curi 1.0%
Requião Filho <1%
$101,901 Обс.
$101,901 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
$66,855 Обс.
80%
Sandro Alex
$5,183 Обс.
20%
Alexandre Curi
$3,727 Обс.
1%
Requião Filho
$11,007 Обс.
<1%
Beto Richa
$2,596 Обс.
<1%
Guto Silva
$2,981 Обс.
<1%
Luiz França
$2,894 Обс.
<1%
Rafael Greca
$3,261 Обс.
<1%
Enio Verri
$3,396 Обс.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$101,901Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$101,901Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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