Recent polling averages and seat projections show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote and likely plurality of seats ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in most recent surveys and models, buoyed by stronger performance in the Montreal region, while the CAQ has slipped after an earlier post-leadership bump under Christine Fréchette. Seat forecasts from aggregators such as 338Canada place the Liberals in the low thirties and the CAQ in the low twenties on average, reflecting the Liberals’ more consistent positioning as the main challenger for official opposition status. Tight regional races and undecided voters leave room for late shifts before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPLQ 62%
CAQ 35%
PQ 6.6%
PCQ <1%
$28,373 Обс.
$28,373 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
62%
CAQ
35%
PQ
7%
PCQ
1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 62%
CAQ 35%
PQ 6.6%
PCQ <1%
$28,373 Обс.
$28,373 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$7,350 Обс.
62%
CAQ
$9,610 Обс.
35%
PQ
$6,439 Обс.
7%
PCQ
$1,787 Обс.
1%
QS
$1,788 Обс.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages and seat projections show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote and likely plurality of seats ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in most recent surveys and models, buoyed by stronger performance in the Montreal region, while the CAQ has slipped after an earlier post-leadership bump under Christine Fréchette. Seat forecasts from aggregators such as 338Canada place the Liberals in the low thirties and the CAQ in the low twenties on average, reflecting the Liberals’ more consistent positioning as the main challenger for official opposition status. Tight regional races and undecided voters leave room for late shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,373Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages and seat projections show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote and likely plurality of seats ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in most recent surveys and models, buoyed by stronger performance in the Montreal region, while the CAQ has slipped after an earlier post-leadership bump under Christine Fréchette. Seat forecasts from aggregators such as 338Canada place the Liberals in the low thirties and the CAQ in the low twenties on average, reflecting the Liberals’ more consistent positioning as the main challenger for official opposition status. Tight regional races and undecided voters leave room for late shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$28,373Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages and seat projections show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote and likely plurality of seats ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in most recent surveys and models, buoyed by stronger performance in the Montreal region, while the CAQ has slipped after an earlier post-leadership bump under Christine Fréchette. Seat forecasts from aggregators such as 338Canada place the Liberals in the low thirties and the CAQ in the low twenties on average, reflecting the Liberals’ more consistent positioning as the main challenger for official opposition status. Tight regional races and undecided voters leave room for late shifts before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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