OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev leaderboard spot with roughly 1,800 points, has anchored trader focus on second place. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits a narrow 35–40 points behind at around 1,760, giving it the strongest current claim to second among labs, while Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Meta’s Muse Spark trail further back. The closely matched 50–52% implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through October or if rapid follow-on releases, iterative improvements, or stronger showings from Chinese labs will reorder the top tier before the end-of-month snapshot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic 52.9%
OpenAI 41%
Google 2.8%
Alibaba 2.8%
$25,212 Обс.
$25,212 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
53%
OpenAI
41%
3%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
Poolside
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 52.9%
OpenAI 41%
Google 2.8%
Alibaba 2.8%
$25,212 Обс.
$25,212 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$4,784 Обс.
53%
OpenAI
$4,359 Обс.
41%
$844 Обс.
3%
Alibaba
$1,923 Обс.
3%
Moonshot
$5,087 Обс.
2%
SpaceXAI
$702 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$762 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$726 Обс.
1%
Meta
$868 Обс.
1%
Poolside
$1,108 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$742 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$727 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$635 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$733 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$414 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$799 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev leaderboard spot with roughly 1,800 points, has anchored trader focus on second place. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits a narrow 35–40 points behind at around 1,760, giving it the strongest current claim to second among labs, while Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Meta’s Muse Spark trail further back. The closely matched 50–52% implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through October or if rapid follow-on releases, iterative improvements, or stronger showings from Chinese labs will reorder the top tier before the end-of-month snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$25,212Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev leaderboard spot with roughly 1,800 points, has anchored trader focus on second place. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits a narrow 35–40 points behind at around 1,760, giving it the strongest current claim to second among labs, while Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Meta’s Muse Spark trail further back. The closely matched 50–52% implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through October or if rapid follow-on releases, iterative improvements, or stronger showings from Chinese labs will reorder the top tier before the end-of-month snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$25,212Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s early-September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev leaderboard spot with roughly 1,800 points, has anchored trader focus on second place. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits a narrow 35–40 points behind at around 1,760, giving it the strongest current claim to second among labs, while Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Meta’s Muse Spark trail further back. The closely matched 50–52% implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through October or if rapid follow-on releases, iterative improvements, or stronger showings from Chinese labs will reorder the top tier before the end-of-month snapshot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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