Recent U.S. inflation data releases and Federal Reserve communications have anchored trader expectations for the September annual CPI reading near 3.5–3.7%, with the 3.6% outcome commanding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Softening labor market indicators, moderating energy prices, and the latest core CPI trajectory have reinforced a gradual disinflation path, while resilient consumer spending has limited downside bets below 3.4%. Market-implied odds reflect the consensus view that the next FOMC meeting and October employment report could still shift probabilities if wage growth or shelter costs surprise to the upside.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.6% 41%
3.5% 24%
3.7% 21%
3.8% 4.7%
$22,735 Обс.
$22,735 Обс.
≤2.9%
1%
3.0%
2%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
4%
3.3%
1%
3.4%
5%
3.5%
24%
3.6%
41%
3.7%
21%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
2%
≥4.0%
3%
3.6% 41%
3.5% 24%
3.7% 21%
3.8% 4.7%
$22,735 Обс.
$22,735 Обс.
≤2.9%
1%
3.0%
2%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
4%
3.3%
1%
3.4%
5%
3.5%
24%
3.6%
41%
3.7%
21%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
2%
≥4.0%
3%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. inflation data releases and Federal Reserve communications have anchored trader expectations for the September annual CPI reading near 3.5–3.7%, with the 3.6% outcome commanding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Softening labor market indicators, moderating energy prices, and the latest core CPI trajectory have reinforced a gradual disinflation path, while resilient consumer spending has limited downside bets below 3.4%. Market-implied odds reflect the consensus view that the next FOMC meeting and October employment report could still shift probabilities if wage growth or shelter costs surprise to the upside.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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