Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz plus the district's post-redistricting conservative tilt across Harris and Montgomery counties. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in his primary. This structural advantage and unified GOP backing underpin trader consensus on Toth's commanding position. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$23,429 Обс.
$23,429 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Steve Toth (R)
93%
Shaun Finnie (D)
7%
$23,429 Обс.
$23,429 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Steve Toth (R)
$11,629 Обс.
93%
Shaun Finnie (D)
$11,800 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz plus the district's post-redistricting conservative tilt across Harris and Montgomery counties. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in his primary. This structural advantage and unified GOP backing underpin trader consensus on Toth's commanding position. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,429Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz plus the district's post-redistricting conservative tilt across Harris and Montgomery counties. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in his primary. This structural advantage and unified GOP backing underpin trader consensus on Toth's commanding position. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,429Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz plus the district's post-redistricting conservative tilt across Harris and Montgomery counties. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in his primary. This structural advantage and unified GOP backing underpin trader consensus on Toth's commanding position. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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